Where is the ideal spot to go short from a cycle perspective?

The ideal spot to go short from a cycle perspective is at the 3/4 cycle high. This point is typically characterized by an overextension of prices within the cycle, often leading to a reversal or pullback. When the market approaches the 3/4 high, it signifies that the uptrend may have lost momentum and that supply is likely to outstrip demand, making it a strategic entry point for a short position.

At this stage in the cycle, traders can take advantage of the anticipated price decline as the market begins its transition into the next phase of the cycle. This tactical entry aligns well with the principles of technical analysis, where key reversal points are often found in overbought conditions, typically seen around the 3/4 mark, before transitioning back toward equilibrium.

This understanding of cycle positioning allows traders to better time their entries and exits, optimizing their trading strategies. Identifying such critical points is essential for enhancing the probability of successful trades and managing risk effectively.